June 27, 2022

Polls suggest New England could lead the country in a rebirth of freedom

Gen Z’s views are a lot more nuanced than the mainstream media would have us believe, and many are open to conservative policies, especially in culturally distinct New England.

Market Research Foundation

Growing evidence shows the increasingly radical modern Democratic Party is pushing young people away. Nowhere is this more evidence than in New England were recent polls show young people ages 18-26 are embracing conservative candidates and principles.

This runs contrary to the narrative Democrats have long held that young voters are the future of the progressive movement and will cut sharply into Republican victories as they enter the voter pool.

Data For Progress, a left-leaning think tank, just released a survey of young New Hampshire voters showing Republicans hold a strong enthusiasm advantage over Democrats entering the midterms.

The survey, conducted among Generation Z (ages 18 to 26) and young millennials (27 to 36), also found Republican Governor Chris Sununu holds a significant favorability advantage over the state’s two Democratic female senators.

Data For Progress reports that 67% of New Hampshire young people are either as enthusiastic as usual about voting this year or more enthusiastic about voting than usual. Young Republicans are twice as likely as young Democrats to say they are more excited about voting this year.

These level-headed New England youth are also far more focused more on strengthening the economy than on climate change, with 31 percent of young New Hampshire voters naming the economy as their top priority compared to only 13 percent who named climate change their number one issue. Just 12 percent identified student debt as their top concern. While zero percent of those polled say creating a pathway to citizenship for illegal aliens is their highest priority.

Data For Progress also reports New Hampshire young people strongly favor Republican Governor Chris Sununu over the state’s two female Democratic Senators. Sununu earns +19 points of net support from young voters 18 to 36, while Democratic Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan earn +5 and +2 points of net support, respectively.

Interestingly, it is New Hampshire’s youngest voters in the eighteen to twenty-four age bracket who drag down the Democratic Senators’ favorability ratings.

According to Data for progress, GOP Governor Sununu has a +22 point margin of support from New Hampshire’s youngest voters, while Sens. Hassan and Shaheen earn -14 and -13 points net favorability, respectively.

While high school and college students holding more conservative views than young professionals may sound odd, exit polls from the 2020 presidential election show eighteen to twenty-four-year-olds supported Trump at significantly higher rates than other “young” voters.

According to CNN’s New Hampshire exit poll, Trump won 48% of New Hampshire’s eighteen to twenty-four-year-old voting bloc, compared to just 35% of voters twenty-five to twenty-nine, and 42% of voters thirty to thirty-nine. In other words, voters under twenty-five supported Trump at substantially higher rates than all other age groups under 40.

These findings are in line with research conducted by Market Research Foundation (MRF), showing young Americans in their teens and early twenties may hold more conservative views than Millennials, the oldest of whom are now 40 years old.

Market Research Foundation conducted a comprehensive survey of 1,500 members of Gen Z in 2018, and found that Gen Z is widely supportive of conservative policies including limited government, non-intervention, cuts to foreign aid, and strict immigration laws. MRF also found that young people from predominately White New England hold these views the strongest.

According to MRF, 48% percent of Gen Z believe people should strive to solve their own problems, compared to 39% who think government should solve them.

Gen Zers from New England show the highest support for the idea that people should strive to solve their own problems, instead of looking toward the government to do so.  Fifty-seven percent of young New Englanders say people should think about what they can do to help themselves, rather than looking toward government, the highest share by region to express this preference as shown below.

Young New Englanders are also the most likely to say that it doesn’t matter if an illegal immigrant isn’t causing problems, if they came here illegally, they must leave or go through the proper procedures to stay. As shown below, 70% of young New Englanders agree that it doesn’t matter if an illegal immigrant isn’t causing problems, if they came here illegally they must leave or go through the proper procedures to stay.

MRF’s research also shows young New Englanders staunchly defend American independence and reject the idea that the United States is obligated to take care of the rest of the world financially or militarily. Over three-quarters of young New Englanders say they agree with the fundamental principle of the America First movement, that the primary goal of any law or policy must be to focus on the needs of Americans.

Eight in ten young New Englanders say if the United States government spent as much time dealing with economic problems at home as it does on the problems of foreign nations, our economy would be much better off. Seventy-three percent of Young New Englanders say they don’t like seeing U.S. taxpayer dollars that could be used domestically given to other countries.

As of early February, President Biden’s favorability rating with young people nationwide is in serious jeopardy, having fallen 25 percentage points since he entered office. Biden took office with a lukewarm 56% approval rating among young voters but that number has fallen to just 31%. In addition, favorability of the Democratic Party has fallen 13 points since last year.

It is easy to assume young people are a lost cause for conservatives when the mainstream media highlights the woke-est amongst them, but that conclusion is premature. President Biden did end up winning the youth vote by 25 percentage points in 2020, but Biden’s margin with young whites was just 6 percentage points, and Trump won young White men by six percentage points.

Gen Z’s views are a lot more nuanced than the mainstream media would have us believe, and many are open to conservative policies, especially in culturally distinct New England.

Market Research Foundation’s mission is to combine big data and predictive analytics with grassroots contact methods.

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