Donald Trump is the first declared candidate in the 2024 election. However, Trump’s nomination will not clear the field of other Republican candidates.
And A shocking poll just showed who Donald Trump is losing to.
One of the big questions following the midterm elections was whether Donald Trump could keep his grip on the Republican Party.
After his favored candidates lost winnable Senate and Governor races, many on the right blamed Trump for the GOP’s dismal showing in the midterm elections.
On the other hand, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ 19-point landslide victory after pushing a conservative agenda on wokeness, illegal immigration, and COVID mandates demonstrated to Republicans that a conservative message resonates with swing voters and other groups that GOP candidates struggle to win.
Prior to the midterm elections, polling data showed Trump comfortably ahead of his Republican opponents.
That is no longer true.
A recent poll from Neighborhood Research and Media for Courageous Conservatives PAC in Iowa found DeSantis leading Trump by two points, 32% to 30%, in the crucial Iowa Caucus.
This represented a 56-point swing in DeSantis’ favor from last year, when Trump led 56% to 12% in a November 2021 poll conducted by Courageous Conservative PAC.
“With support barely half what it was a year ago in a time when DeSantis’ vote has nearly tripled, Trump becomes a severe underdog in the race,” pollster Rick Shaftan’s polling memo read.
According to Shaftan, Trump’s biggest drop in GOP support came from older women.
“President Trump’s support level has dropped 8 points since late June and 26 points in a year, with his biggest drop with women, especially older women. Trump led 62-8 with women a year ago with his lead now down to a point (28-27),” Shaftan continued.
Shaftan also stated that DeSantis won the most votes from men and very conservative people, who are the most likely to vote in a nomination process.
“DeSantis scored best with men and very conservative voters. With men DeSantis went from a 51-16 deficit to 36-21 in June to a 39-32 lead today. Among very conservative voters (60 percent of respondents this month, 59 percent in June and November 2021), Trump’s lead is down to one point (36-35) from a 62-13 lead a year ago and 46-17 in June,” Shaftan added.
For the first time since winning the Republican nomination in 2016, Trump confronts a real challenge to lead the Party.
Some Republicans believe it is past time to move on from Trump.
Others believe Trump is the best candidate to reclaim the presidency.
The most recent polling data reflects this division.
Stay tuned to Prudent Politics.